How Rising Interest Rates Affect Commercial Real Estate Values, and What Investors Should Do Now The $1.8 Trillion Problem Nobody Talks About Imagine you bought a commercial building in 2021. Interest rates were sitting near zero. The deal made perfect sense, you borrowed cheaply, your cash flow was solid, and appreciation seemed all but guaranteed. Fast-forward to today. Your loan is maturing. The interest rate you locked in back then? Around 3–4%. The rate you'd refinance at right now ? Well above 6%. That gap, that stomach-dropping difference between what you owe and what the market demands, is the quiet crisis reshaping commercial real estate from the inside out. And it's happening at scale. An estimated $1.8 trillion in commercial real estate debt is maturing in 2026, creating enormous pressure on borrowers who locked in loans at historically low rates. Many of them are now facing a reckoning. But here's the thing, every crisis creates a market. If you understand ...
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